Prediction: Artificial General Intelligence + Confirmed Nonhuman Technology Near Earth In The Next 2 Years.

This prediction is more conservative than those of several relevant domain experts I’ve heard recently.

The Prediction:

This prediction did not last in the open thread challenge mode because it was obviously very low effort. I’m a big fan of that dynamic for the Astral Codex Ten open threads, it matches functionality I built into the social media platform I developed to, among other things, mitigate online conflict.

My prediction is a double double, eh?


This is all based on real stuff

The core of this prediction:



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